Financial Intelligence & Advisory

Service 02

Forex Advisory.

Currency is a risk you already hold, whether or not you chose it. Forex advisory makes that exposure explicit and gives it a framework — before it is ever treated as an opportunity.

Sample currency exposure

EUR

Net long

USD

Hedged

JPY

Monitored

Net

Exposure measured, not gross notional

Pre-set

Loss limits agreed before any position

No

Signals, forecasts or performance promises

Almost every portfolio carries currency risk indirectly: foreign equities, offshore accounts, income earned in one currency and spent in another, debt denominated abroad. That exposure is usually unmeasured, which means it is unmanaged.

Our forex work begins as a measurement exercise, not a trading one. We quantify net exposure by currency, identify which part of it is intentional, and decide which part should be reduced, hedged, or simply accepted and monitored.

Only after that do we discuss active positioning — and always inside written limits, with a defined loss tolerance and an exit rule agreed in advance. VOSS CAPITAL does not sell signals and does not forecast rates.

What the work actually covers.

01

Exposure audit

A currency-by-currency accounting of where the portfolio and the cash flows actually sit, including exposure inherited through funds and foreign-listed holdings.

  • Net exposure by currency pair
  • Look-through exposure inside funds and ETFs
  • Income and expense currency mismatch
  • Currency of debt vs. currency of servicing income
02

Hedging framework

Where exposure is unwanted, we set out the options, their cost and their failure modes — and are explicit that a hedge is a cost paid for certainty, not a source of return.

  • What to hedge, what to leave open, and why
  • Cost of carry and rollover considerations
  • Partial vs. full hedge ratios
  • Instrument suitability and access constraints
03

Macro and rate context

Independent analysis of the drivers that actually move pairs over the horizons that matter to you — policy differentials, real rates, terms of trade and positioning — presented as context, not as prediction.

  • Policy rate and real yield differentials
  • Terms of trade and current account context
  • Positioning and volatility regime notes
  • Scenario ranges rather than point forecasts
04

Position discipline

If active FX positioning is in scope, it operates under rules written before the first trade: size, maximum loss, invalidation level and review cadence.

  • Maximum risk per position and in aggregate
  • Invalidation level defined at entry
  • Correlation checks across open exposure
  • Written post-review of each closed position
Method
  1. Discovery

    Establish the base currency

    We agree the currency in which your life and obligations are actually denominated. Every exposure is then measured relative to it.

  2. Audit

    Quantify what you hold

    Net exposure is calculated across holdings and cash flows, including look-through inside pooled vehicles.

  3. Framework

    Decide and document

    Each exposure is classified as accept, reduce or hedge, with a stated reason and a monitoring threshold.

  4. Monitoring

    Review against thresholds

    Periodic briefings cover changes in exposure, breached thresholds and shifts in the macro context — not market commentary for its own sake.

Deliverables

  • Net currency exposure map with base-currency reference
  • Classification of every exposure: accept, reduce or hedge
  • Hedging options with cost and failure modes stated
  • Written risk limits and invalidation rules
  • Periodic FX and macro context briefing

Well suited to

  • +Portfolios with material foreign-currency holdings
  • +Clients earning and spending in different currencies
  • +Businesses with cross-border revenue or supplier costs
  • +Investors who want exposure measured before it is traded

Not what this is

  • Anyone seeking trade signals, copy trading or managed FX accounts
  • Clients expecting rate forecasts or guaranteed outcomes
  • High-leverage short-term speculation

Common questions.

Do you place trades on my behalf?

No. Advisory work is analysis, framework and limits. Execution remains with you or with a separately appointed party under terms agreed in writing.

Will you tell me where a pair is going?

No. We work in scenarios and ranges with stated assumptions. Anyone offering certainty on a currency rate is describing a hope, not an analysis.

Is leverage part of the framework?

Only if it is explicitly in scope, and then within a written maximum-loss limit. Leverage magnifies loss as reliably as it magnifies gain.

Discovery stage

Begin with the questionnaire.

Clients complete a structured discovery questionnaire before the first consultation. It produces a working strategy document that becomes the agenda for the conversation.